Almost any bunkum has some partial validity, and we regularly read into the confusing mess what we want to… — John Allen Paulos

Having been involved in a couple of lawsuits as an expert probability witness and having observed that a prudent skepticism is often less prized than an indefensible certainty, I turned down preliminary requests from both sides to testify.

You can only predict things after they’ve happened.

Two dangers threaten the world—order and disorder.